SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Juventude |
67.36% ( -0.27) | 18.71% ( 0.02) | 13.92% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.57% ( 0.47) | 39.43% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.22% ( 0.49) | 61.77% ( -0.49) |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.22% ( 0.06) | 10.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.2% ( 0.14) | 34.8% ( -0.14) |
| Juventude Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.53% ( 0.66) | 40.47% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.92% ( 0.59) | 77.08% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ceara | Draw | Juventude |
| 2-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.29% Total : 67.36% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.71% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.68% Total : 13.92% |
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