Juventude make it too easy for opposing teams to transition through the middle of the field, allowing their fair share of scoring chances in the process.
Fluzao are not the most dynamic of squads, but they should have enough experience and potency to bury at least one of the many opportunities we anticipate they will have.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (12.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventude in this match.
0.26) 
-0.27) 
