Despite wobbling in recent home games, Flamengo should make light work of an opponent that may struggle with their absences this weekend. We are backing Tite's team to take advantage of the away side's three-game losing road run and 10-match winless sequence to record a seventh home victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 15.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
-0.46) 
0.04) 
