Buoyed by their victory at the weekend, Atletico Mineiro will head into Wednesday with sky-high morale as they look to make it three wins on the bounce in Group G. Alianza Lima's current form and home record makes Coudet's men favourites and we fancy them picking up all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.
-0.12) 
0.14) 
