SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Aucas had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Aucas win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aucas | Draw | Racing Club |
29.78% ( -0.2) | 26.87% ( 0.07) | 43.35% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.67% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.81% ( -0.35) | 55.19% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( -0.29) | 76.42% ( 0.29) |
| Aucas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.45% ( -0.33) | 33.55% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.81% ( -0.36) | 70.19% ( 0.36) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( -0.1) | 25.25% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( -0.13) | 60% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aucas | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.78% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.34% |
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