SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Racing Club |
39.63% ( 0.36) | 27.88% ( 0.02) | 32.5% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.85% ( -0.16) | 58.14% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.2% ( -0.13) | 78.8% ( 0.12) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( 0.13) | 28.63% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.56% ( 0.16) | 64.44% ( -0.16) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( -0.35) | 33.13% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.27% ( -0.39) | 69.73% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.72% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.5% |
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