Aucas
3 - 0
Metropolitanos

Ordonez (39', 76'), Matias Pizzorno Bracco (68')
Ordonez (7'), Alexander Mina Caicedo (22'), Briones (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cova (24'), Larotonda (45')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Aucas and Metropolitanos.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aucas would win this match.

Result
Aucas	Draw	Metropolitanos
46.4%	22.8%	30.8%

Both teams to score 63.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.16%

36.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.99%

59.01%

Aucas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.68%

16.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.09%

45.9%

Metropolitanos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37%

23.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29%

57.71%

Score Analysis

Aucas 46.4%

Metropolitanos 30.8%

Draw 22.79%

Aucas	Draw	Metropolitanos
2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-2 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.65% Total : 46.4%	1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 3.85% 3-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.79%	1-2 @ 7.28% 0-1 @ 5.56% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.8%