SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Aucas had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Aucas win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aucas | Draw | Flamengo |
21% ( -0.17) | 23.9% ( 0.12) | 55.1% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.82% ( -0.68) | 50.17% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.86% ( -0.6) | 72.13% ( 0.6) |
| Aucas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( -0.56) | 38.41% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.83% ( -0.54) | 75.16% ( 0.54) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( -0.23) | 18.08% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.99% ( -0.39) | 49% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aucas | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.51% Total : 21% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 10.15% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.08% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
