Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
0.13) 
-0.32) 
