Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.