Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 81.57%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 5.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.37%) and 1-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.02%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
