Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.