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Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Oct 25, 2022 at 12am UK
Castelao
AM

Fortaleza
0 - 0
Atletico Mineiro


Titi (35'), Capixaba (45+3'), Galhardo (85'), Britez (90+2')
FT

Alonso (35'), Dodo (45')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America Mineiro 1-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, October 16 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, October 16 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawAtletico Mineiro
34.4% (0.999 1) 28.59% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 37.02% (-0.961 -0.96)
Both teams to score 46% (0.226 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.57% (0.221 0.22)60.43% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.44% (0.167 0.17)80.56% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (0.794 0.79)33.02% (-0.792 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (0.871 0.87)69.61% (-0.86800000000001 -0.87)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)31.32% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.564 -0.56)67.68% (0.566 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 34.4%
    Atletico Mineiro 37.01%
    Draw 28.58%
FortalezaDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.159 0.16)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.116 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.129 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.4%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.34% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.58%
0-1 @ 12% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 6.97% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 37.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, October 16 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Avai
Sunday, October 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, October 5 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 0-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 1 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-2 Flamengo
Wednesday, September 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 18 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, October 16 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Ceara
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, October 6 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Fluminense
Saturday, October 1 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, September 29 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro


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