SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 15 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Atletico Mineiro | 15 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 15 | 4 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 16.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
60.58% ( 0.02) | 23.37% ( -0) | 16.05% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.64% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.2% ( -0.01) | 54.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.9% ( -0.01) | 76.1% ( 0.01) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( 0) | 17.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.51% ( 0) | 48.48% ( 0) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.07% ( -0.02) | 46.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.57% ( -0.02) | 82.43% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
| 1-0 @ 14.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 16.05% |
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