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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
5 - 0
Cerro Porteno

Samudio (37' og.), Rony (73', 83'), Lopes (75'), Gomez (78')
Menino (40'), Danilo (52'), Rony (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Patino (46'), Espinola (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-3 Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Palmeiras 2-0 Cerro Porteno

With a sizeable advantage heading into this leg, you might be inclined to see Palmeiras be a little more passive, but they are deceptively quick on the counter, and you rarely know when this team will attack you with numbers going forward. We expect El Ciclon to put up a fight, but in the end, this team do not have the quality to trouble a backline, who are among the stingiest in South America. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 16.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawCerro Porteno
60.58% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 23.37% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 16.05% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.64% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.2% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)54.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)76.1% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.07% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)46.92% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)82.43% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 60.57%
    Cerro Porteno 16.05%
    Draw 23.36%
PalmeirasDrawCerro Porteno
1-0 @ 14.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 60.57%
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 16.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 3 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-3 Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Avai 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Palmeiras
Friday, June 24 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-2 Palmeiras
Tuesday, June 21 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-2 Atletico GO
Thursday, June 16 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-3 Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Cerro Porteno
Tuesday, May 17 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colon 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, May 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-0 Penarol
Thursday, April 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 3-1 Colon
Tuesday, April 12 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores


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