Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.