Porteno will be looking to stay in the contest ahead of the second leg, but we are finding it difficult to predict a positive result for the home side here. Palmeiras have so much quality, especially in the final third of the field, and the Brazilian outfit should have too much for their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Cerro Porteno	Draw	Palmeiras
17.23% ( 0.01)	24.56% ( 0)	58.21% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.69% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.67% (

0.01)

57.33% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.84% (

0.01)

78.16% (

-0.01)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.11% (

0.02)

46.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.6% (

0.01)

82.4% (

-0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.38% (

-0)

19.61% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.44%

51.56% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Cerro Porteno 17.23%

Palmeiras 58.2%

Draw 24.56%

Cerro Porteno	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.23%	1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 14.98% 0-2 @ 12.2% 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.02% 0-4 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 58.2%