SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Corinthians | 14 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Internacional | 14 | 7 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Palmeiras |
17.23% ( 0.01) | 24.56% ( 0) | 58.21% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.67% ( 0.01) | 57.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% ( 0.01) | 78.16% ( -0.01) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.11% ( 0.02) | 46.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.6% ( 0.01) | 82.4% ( -0.01) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( -0) | 19.61% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.44% | 51.56% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.3% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.23% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 14.98% 0-2 @ 12.2% 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.02% 0-4 @ 2.7% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 58.2% |
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