Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.02) 
