Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metropolitanos | Draw | Barcelona SC |
39.32% ( -0.07) | 26.16% ( 0.02) | 34.52% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.97% ( -0.05) | 51.03% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.11% ( -0.05) | 72.89% ( 0.05) |
Metropolitanos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.53% ( -0.06) | 25.47% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.7% ( -0.09) | 60.3% ( 0.09) |
Barcelona SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( 0.01) | 28.23% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% ( 0.01) | 63.93% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Metropolitanos | Draw | Barcelona SC |
1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.32% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.52% |
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