SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | -2 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Barcelona SC |
39.97% ( -0) | 26.07% ( 0.01) | 33.95% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% ( -0.03) | 50.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% ( -0.03) | 72.66% ( 0.02) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( -0.02) | 24.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( -0.02) | 59.65% ( 0.02) |
| Barcelona SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% ( -0.02) | 28.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.78% ( -0.02) | 64.22% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Barcelona SC |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.95% |
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