Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
