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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 26, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno
1 - 0
America

Gimenez (5')
Viera (45'), Patino (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Quinones (56'), Alejandro Paz (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Porteno in this match.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawAmerica de Cali
42.49%27.24%30.27%
Both teams to score 48.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.6%56.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.58%77.41%
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75%26.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64%61.36%
America de Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18%33.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52%70.48%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 42.48%
    America de Cali 30.27%
    Draw 27.24%
Cerro PortenoDrawAmerica de Cali
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 42.48%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 30.27%

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