Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Porteno in this match.
