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Copa Libertadores | First Round
Feb 24, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Mansiche

Cesar Vallejo
0 - 0
Caracas


Morillo (6'), Silva (64'), Garces (65'), Ciucci (83')
FT

Castillo (81'), Rivero (85'), Akinyoola (88')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Cesar Vallejo and Caracas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Cesar VallejoDrawCaracas
50.22%26.01%23.76%
Both teams to score 47.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4%55.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23%76.77%
Cesar Vallejo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81%22.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4%55.6%
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.22%38.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.48%75.52%
Score Analysis
    Cesar Vallejo 50.22%
    Caracas 23.76%
    Draw 26.01%
Cesar VallejoDrawCaracas
1-0 @ 12.95%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 50.22%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 8.61%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.15%
1-2 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.76%

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