Vasco
1 - 0
Caracas

Reis (88')
Tenorio (40'), Catatau (79')
Catatau (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guarirapa (66'), Hernandez (67'), Febres (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Vasco da Gama and Caracas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Caracas
55.16%	25.7%	19.14%

Both teams to score 42.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.12%

58.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.63%

79.37%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.55%

21.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.53%

54.46%

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.52%

45.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.68%

81.31%

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 55.15%

Caracas 19.14%

Draw 25.69%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Caracas
1-0 @ 15.01% 2-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 9.11% 3-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 4.68% 4-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.94% Total : 55.15%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 9.75% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 7.69% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.6% Total : 19.14%