Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 11.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.07%) and 3-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.31%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
