SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union La Calera win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union La Calera win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union La Calera | Draw | LDU Quito |
| 47.31% | 25.48% | 27.21% |
| Both teams to score 52.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% | 51.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.08% | 72.92% |
| Union La Calera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% | 21.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.32% | 54.68% |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% | 33.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.03% | 69.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union La Calera | Draw | LDU Quito |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 8.46% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.37% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.21% |
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