Independiente
2 - 1
Gremio

Faravelli (53', 60' pen.)
Vite (10'), Mera (85'), Jahir Garcia Realpe (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Souza (9')
Rodrigues (17'), Oliveira Fraga Costa (26'), Ruan (48')
Ruan (59')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Independiente del Valle and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result
Independiente del Valle	Draw	Gremio
40.05%	25.11%	34.83%

Both teams to score 57.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.63%

46.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.34%

68.66%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77%

22.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.2%

56.79%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19%

25.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.22%

60.77%

Score Analysis

Independiente del Valle 40.05%

Gremio 34.83%

Draw 25.1%

Independiente del Valle	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 8.73% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.05%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.88% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.4% Total : 34.83%