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Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Olímpico Monumental
ID

Gremio
1 - 2
Independiente

Pyerre (22')
Alisson (9'), Souza (18'), Cortez (61'), Souza (80'), Kannemann (82')
Souza (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ortiz (45+3', 66')
Joel Pacho Tenorio (45+1'), Andres Hurtado Cheme (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawIndependiente del Valle
58.28%22.58%19.14%
Both teams to score 51.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.87%47.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64%69.36%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14%15.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.93%45.07%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37%38.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63%75.37%
Score Analysis
    Gremio 58.28%
    Independiente del Valle 19.14%
    Draw 22.58%
GremioDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.28%
2-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 6.06%
4-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-0 @ 1.08%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 58.28%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 6.13%
2-2 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.58%
0-1 @ 5.83%
1-2 @ 5.1%
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19.14%

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