Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Santos had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.