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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 2, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Liverpool
2 - 2
Argentinos Jrs
Bentancourt (48', 76')
Samudio (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (45+1'), Torren (60' pen.)
Villalba (83'), Mac Allister (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Liverpool and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston River 1-3 Liverpool
Friday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 49.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawArgentinos Juniors
22.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.52% (-0.012 -0.01) 49.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.65% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.46% (0.048999999999999 0.05)61.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)81.4% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.85% (0.038000000000004 0.04)43.15% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.58% (0.032 0.03)79.42% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.027000000000001 0.03)24.99% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (0.033999999999999 0.03)59.64% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 22.75%
    Argentinos Juniors 49.72%
    Draw 27.51%
LiverpoolDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.48% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 22.75%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 14.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 49.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Boston River 1-3 Liverpool
Friday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Cerro
Monday, April 24 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, April 19 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Liverpool
Saturday, April 15 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Plaza Colonia
Monday, April 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-3 Corinthians
Thursday, April 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-4 Gimnasia
Tuesday, April 25 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Corinthians 0-1 Argentinos Jrs
Thursday, April 20 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Huracan 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 5-1 Union
Tuesday, April 11 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 2-0 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, April 8 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
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