SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
22.12% ( 0.73) | 24.96% ( 0.52) | 52.91% ( -1.26) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.85% ( -1.27) | 53.15% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( -1.09) | 74.72% ( 1.09) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% ( 0.01) | 38.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.3% ( 0.01) | 75.7% ( -0.01) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( -0.99) | 20.07% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.7% ( -1.62) | 52.3% ( 1.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.46% Total : 22.12% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 10.08% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.9% |
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