Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.09) 
