SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
41.37% ( 0.09) | 28.8% ( 0.01) | 29.83% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.3% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38% ( -0.05) | 62% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.27% ( -0.03) | 81.73% ( 0.04) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( 0.03) | 29.52% ( -0.03) |
