SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Corinthians |
22.13% ( -0.22) | 27.32% ( -0.02) | 50.55% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 42.52% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.64% ( -0.11) | 61.36% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.74% ( -0.08) | 81.26% ( 0.08) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.33% ( -0.29) | 43.67% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.15% ( -0.24) | 79.85% ( 0.24) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( 0.07) | 24.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( 0.09) | 58.99% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Corinthians |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.13% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 15.05% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 10.57% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 50.54% |
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