SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Union |
59.85% ( -0.62) | 24.53% ( 0.16) | 15.62% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 39.86% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.58% ( 0.16) | 59.42% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.21% ( 0.13) | 79.79% ( -0.12) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( -0.17) | 19.79% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( -0.28) | 51.86% ( 0.28) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.7% ( 0.76) | 50.3% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.14% ( 0.51) | 84.86% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 16.12% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.41% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.62% |
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