SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 8.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.81%) and 3-0 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Gimnasia |
73.71% ( -0.21) | 17.54% ( 0.15) | 8.75% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 39.41% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( -0.45) | 48.16% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( -0.41) | 70.32% ( 0.41) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.46% ( -0.18) | 11.54% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.54% ( -0.39) | 36.46% ( 0.39) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.56% ( -0.15) | 55.44% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.86% ( -0.09) | 88.14% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 2-0 @ 14.91% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 13.81% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 73.69% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 17.54% | 0-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 8.75% |
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