Given Sao Paulo's quality in attack it would be a surprise if they were thwarted by their opponents on Saturday. Their incredible history in South American football also gives them something of an edge, with that respect factor perhaps giving them an extra one or two percent.
Yet, Independiente del Valle have proven themselves as a proficient side in attack and while they are weaker on paper than their counterparts, they should give the Brazilian giants a strong run for their money.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
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