Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
1.4) 
-0.28) 
