SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 1-0 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Flamengo |
22.98% ( -0.3) | 25.77% ( -0.01) | 51.25% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 47.49% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.63% ( -0.21) | 55.37% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.43% ( -0.17) | 76.57% ( 0.17) |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.61% ( -0.4) | 39.39% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.91% ( -0.38) | 76.09% ( 0.37) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.04) | 21.65% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( 0.07) | 54.78% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.42% Total : 22.98% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 9.98% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 9.3% 0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.25% |
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