Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magallanes win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magallanes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
-0) 
0.01) 
