Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
