Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.61%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.