Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
Result | ||
Rosario Central | Draw | Penarol |
42.44% (![]() | 26.17% (![]() | 31.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.55% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.17% (![]() | 51.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.41% (![]() | 73.59% (![]() |
Rosario Central Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% (![]() | 24.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.45% (![]() | 58.55% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% (![]() | 30.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% (![]() | 66.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rosario Central | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 10.53% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.83% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.44% | 1-1 @ 12.44% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.78% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.4% |
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