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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Mar 9, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
3 - 0
Cerro

Silvera (3'), Fernandez (81', 90' pen.)
Cabrera (23'), Rodriguez (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (23'), Rabunal (37'), Llana (54'), Abero (69')
Pallas (33'), Gonzalez (78')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rampla 0-3 Penarol
Sunday, March 3 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 2-3 Progreso
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.41%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawCerro
50.96% (0.080999999999996 0.08) 28.88%20.16% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 36.85% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.57% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)67.43% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.45% (-0.044 -0.04)85.55% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)27.14% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)62.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.57% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)49.43% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.74% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)84.26% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 50.94%
    Cerro 20.16%
    Draw 28.87%
PenarolDrawCerro
1-0 @ 17.49% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 50.94%
0-0 @ 13.41% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 28.87%
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.16%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rampla 0-3 Penarol
Sunday, March 3 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, February 24 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-2 Penarol
Sunday, February 18 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Liverpool
Saturday, December 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Penarol
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, December 9 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 2-3 Progreso
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 1-1 Wanderers
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Cerro
Thursday, December 7 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 1-1 Plaza Colonia
Monday, December 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Cerro
Thursday, November 30 at 8.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 0-1 Liverpool
Friday, November 24 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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