SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Rosario Central |
58.13% ( 0.24) | 24.81% ( -0.11) | 17.06% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 41.78% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.61% ( 0.22) | 58.39% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21% ( 0.17) | 79% ( -0.17) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( 0.18) | 20.06% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.72% ( 0.29) | 52.28% ( -0.29) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.26% ( -0.02) | 47.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.96% ( -0.02) | 83.04% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.38% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 58.12% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.06% |
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