Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Penarol |
19.47% (![]() | 25.35% (![]() | 55.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.65% (![]() | 57.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.83% (![]() | 78.17% (![]() |
Racing de Montevideo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.79% (![]() | 44.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.7% (![]() | 80.3% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.18% | 20.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.51% | 53.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 7.51% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.47% | 1-1 @ 11.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 14.44% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.33% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.9% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.18% |
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