SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 44.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Instituto |
44.66% ( -0.03) | 29.1% ( 0.01) | 26.25% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.67% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.69% ( -0.02) | 64.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.59% ( -0.02) | 83.41% ( 0.02) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( -0.03) | 28.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( -0.04) | 64.7% ( 0.03) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.55% ( 0) | 41.45% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.05% ( 0) | 77.95% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 14.86% 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.09% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.21% Total : 26.24% |
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