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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
ID

San Lorenzo
vs.
Independiente

 
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between San Lorenzo and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 2-3 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 35.65%. A win for San Lorenzo has a probability of 35.59% and a draw has a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win is 1-0 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.34%).

Result
San LorenzoDrawIndependiente del Valle
35.59% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 28.76% (0.02 0.02) 35.65% (-0.11 -0.11)
Both teams to score 45.55% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)61% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.01% (-0.058 -0.06)80.99% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (0.016999999999996 0.02)32.52% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (0.02 0.02)69.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.11 -0.11)32.48% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (-0.124 -0.12)69.01% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 35.58%
    Independiente del Valle 35.64%
    Draw 28.75%
San LorenzoDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.58%
1-1 @ 13.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.75%
0-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-0 San Lorenzo
Monday, April 15 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-2 Defensa
Saturday, April 6 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 San Lorenzo
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-3 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Independiente
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Dep. Pereira
Thursday, August 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Dep. Pereira 1-0 Independiente
Thursday, August 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Independiente (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, July 19 at 9pm in UEFA CONMEBOL Club Challenge


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