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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 35.71%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.08%) and 1-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (13.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | San Lorenzo |
33.34% ( -0.33) | 30.95% ( 0.11) | 35.71% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 39.66% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32% ( -0.33) | 67.99% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.07% ( -0.22) | 85.93% ( 0.22) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.14% ( -0.42) | 37.85% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.37% ( -0.41) | 74.62% ( 0.41) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% ( -0.03) | 36.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.03% ( -0.03) | 72.97% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.7% Total : 33.33% | 0-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.16) 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.94% | 0-1 @ 13.92% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 35.7% |
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