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Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 14, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
SL

Santos
2 - 2
San Lorenzo

Leonardo (22'), Para (57')
Alison (20'), Leonardo (22'), Paulo (45'), Peres (50'), Marinho (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Di Santo (59'), Romero (78')
Peruzzi (3'), Di Santo (24'), Rodriguez (64')
Rojas (51')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
SantosDrawSan Lorenzo
48.07%26.17%25.76%
Both teams to score 49.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29%54.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97%76.03%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22%22.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.52%56.47%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49%36.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71%73.29%
Score Analysis
    Santos 48.07%
    San Lorenzo 25.76%
    Draw 26.16%
SantosDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 48.07%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.38%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 25.76%

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