Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.