Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 17.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
