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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 11, 2021 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio El Campin

Santa Fe
1 - 0
Boca Juniors

Penailillo (50')
Manuel Garcia (39'), Penailillo (39'), Canete (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Villa (15'), Campuzano (68')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Santa Fe and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Santa FeDrawBoca Juniors
21.08%25.33%53.59%
Both teams to score 46.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43%55.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26%76.74%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.59%41.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.08%77.92%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25%20.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61%53.39%
Score Analysis
    Santa Fe 21.08%
    Boca Juniors 53.58%
    Draw 25.33%
Santa FeDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 7.58%
2-1 @ 5.25%
2-0 @ 3.34%
3-1 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.21%
3-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 21.08%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 8.6%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 13.51%
0-2 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-3 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 4.91%
0-4 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 53.58%

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