Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
