Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
